Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.118215 0.131705 0.145502 0.160630 0.176714 0.193266 0.211550
2024-10-20 0.099894 0.118533 0.138314 0.160740 0.185330 0.211352 0.240850
2024-10-27 0.085437 0.107365 0.131416 0.159473 0.191036 0.225192 0.264702
2024-11-03 0.075637 0.100125 0.127783 0.160852 0.198854 0.240736 0.289965
2024-11-10 0.069118 0.095871 0.126877 0.164738 0.209032 0.258581 0.317577
2024-11-17 0.061555 0.089607 0.122983 0.164597 0.214128 0.270325 0.338048
2024-11-24 0.056743 0.086234 0.122140 0.167712 0.222744 0.285912 0.362785
2024-12-01 0.051672 0.082071 0.119951 0.168880 0.228797 0.298339 0.383751
2024-12-08 0.046595 0.077463 0.116848 0.168617 0.232882 0.308271 0.401678
2024-12-15 0.042607 0.073978 0.114900 0.169554 0.238239 0.319581 0.421140
2024-12-22 0.038325 0.069736 0.111686 0.168649 0.241138 0.327806 0.436851
2024-12-29 0.036058 0.068162 0.111852 0.171956 0.249185 0.342199 0.459909
2025-01-05 0.032890 0.065150 0.110062 0.172805 0.254343 0.353375 0.479538
2025-01-12 0.029716 0.061866 0.107704 0.172759 0.258268 0.362999 0.497302
2025-01-19 0.026423 0.058110 0.104463 0.171354 0.260320 0.370227 0.512112
2025-01-26 0.024267 0.055972 0.103383 0.172755 0.265923 0.381830 0.532269
2025-02-02 0.023030 0.055239 0.104266 0.176799 0.274956 0.397737 0.557763
2025-02-09 0.020790 0.052603 0.102196 0.176640 0.278389 0.406560 0.574505
2025-02-16 0.019588 0.051668 0.102600 0.179892 0.286312 0.421061 0.598317
2025-02-23 0.018000 0.049892 0.101619 0.181109 0.291477 0.432041 0.617758
2025-03-02 0.016214 0.047568 0.099663 0.180833 0.294565 0.440329 0.633822
2025-03-09 0.014842 0.045894 0.098628 0.181812 0.299302 0.450710 0.652517
2025-03-16 0.013208 0.043520 0.096344 0.180865 0.301343 0.457569 0.666754